The atmospheric flow between Hawaii and California will likely kick back up by the weekend. The drier weather and the longer days should result in comfortable weather and a break from March’s rains.īut don’t put that umbrella away just yet These rains will drop off by Tuesday night, becoming light and tapering off through the overnight hours.Īfter Tuesday’s turbulent weather, winds and rain will drop off and sunnier skies will return to the Bay Area and most of Northern California. The rest of the Bay Area can expect anywhere from 1 to 2 inches of rain, with moderate rainfall possible again in the afternoon rush hour. Light to moderate rain will fall across the Bay Area with this system, with 2 to 3 inches slated for the Marin Headlands, Highway 1 coastline in San Mateo County and Santa Cruz Mountains. Most winds will then gradually die down after 9 p.m. Residents heading up to Lick Observatory or the summits of the Santa Cruz Mountains are likely to deal with more pronounced winds from the south gusting to over 70 mph, raising the risk for power outages and flying debris over the course of the day. This often causes travel delays at SFO and airports across Northern California. At San Francisco International Airport, south- and east-blowing winds lead to more use of the departure and arrival runways that face south and east. South-blowing winds often affect where planes are able to take off and land. Areas on Highway 1 south of Pacifica have a chance of measuring gusts in excess of 40 mph. on Tuesday, along with brief rounds of 35 to 40 mph gusts out of the south. That being said, rounds of moderate rainfall are slated for the Bay Area between 5 a.m. Gusts above 60 mph will be limited to south and east-facing mountains and hills in the region, including the Santa Cruz Mountains, Diablo Range, Oakland and Berkeley hills and the Marin Headlands. The North American weather model's wind forecast Tuesday calls for gusts across the Bay Area and Santa Cruz Mountains, with gusts over 35 mph possible across most of the region. So, while the storm will have plenty of fuel to raise turbulent weather in Los Angeles and San Diego, it will have only around a third to a half of the fuel to cause similar conditions in the Bay Area.Īs a result, it’s looking like Southern California will bear the brunt of today’s storm, while Northern California is spared some of the most turbulent weather. This southward shift in the recent track of storms is happening because the flow of winds and moisture over the Pacific Ocean between Hawaii and Southern California has been increasing since the start of the month while decreasing over Northern California. However, the odds of that playing out are low, as most weather models are forecasting a more southern track for the storm. Based on that model run, the storm system would also intensify quickly over the course of the morning, which could make it reach bomb cyclone criteria. and noon on Tuesday, which would raise gusts by an additional 10 to 15 mph across most cities along San Francisco Bay. One run of the European weather model on Monday afternoon suggested a track that briefly wobbles closer to the Peninsula, stalling over the region between 6 a.m. While the path of the storm was unclear late last week, its track has been trending away from the Santa Cruz Mountains over the past few days. Some of these gusts will radiate north into the Santa Cruz Mountains and the hillsides in San Mateo County facing the Pacific Coast. Some of the strongest winds are slated for the Central Coast, with gusts likely above 65 mph along Highway 1 between Monterey and San Luis Obispo. Tuesday’s storm will spin south toward Monterey Bay this morning, tapping into a Pineapple Express that will fuel its rains, winds and thunderstorms. Gusts over 50 and 60 mph will be possible near the water and some of the region's tallest peaks. Tuesday's wind forecast calls for gusts along Monterey Bay, the Salinas Valley, Big Sur mountains and most of the Central Coast. The stage is set for a return to turbulent weather in the Bay Area. These downpours will have the potential to raise gusts, lightning and small hail. Some of the biggest impacts to the Bay Area on Tuesday will be heavy rainfall during the morning commute and the risk of thunderstorms around the evening rush hour. Live storm map: See where snow and rain are hitting California and Bay Area.Dates are based on the Gregorian calendar. Time is adjusted for DST when applicable. * All times are local time for Santa Cruz. Business Date to Date (exclude holidays).
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